Getting closer

承前*1

Agence France-Presse “Bali volcano: 34,000 flee Mount Agung as tremor magnitude intensifies” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/24/bali-volcano-34000-flee-mount-agung-as-tremors-intensify


バリ島のアグン山の火山活動の活発化(噴火の危機)。ニュースが更新される度に避難民の数が増えている。22日の報道では1万人強だったが*2、24日の報道では、3万人を超えている。さらに、26日付けの記事によれば、避難民は既に7万5000人に上っている*3。既に多くの国がバリ島への渡航自粛を勧告し始めているが、インドネシア交通部は噴火した場合の外国人観光客避難計画を作成し始めている*4


Michael McGowan “Bali volcano: will Mount Agung erupt and what happens if it does?” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/27/bali-volcano-will-mount-agung-erupt-and-what-happens-if-it-does


アグン山は本当に爆発するのか。


Scott Bryan*5, an associate professor from the Queensland University of Technology, says there have been “very good indications” that an eruption is imminent.

“The fact that the seismic tremors beneath the volcano are increasing in number, intensity, and the reduction in their depth in the last week or so, is a very good indication that magma is moving up to the surface,” he said.

As well as seismic activity, Bryan said there are two other signs that an eruption is imminent: gas emissions from the summit, and bulging on the volcano’s surface.

He said gas emissions were a sign that pressure under the ground had become too great, sending magma towards the summit of the volcano and releasing gas and steam in the process.

“It’s like a bottle of Coke or champagne, if you shake them up the pressure builds until you release the lid,” he said.

*1:http://d.hatena.ne.jp/sumita-m/20170923/1506183045

*2:See Associated Press “Bali on high alert after tremors around Mount Agung volcano” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/22/bali-indonesia-high-alert-tremors-around-mount-agung-volcano

*3:See Kate Lamb “Bali volcano eruption could be hours away after unprecedented seismic activity” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/26/bali-volcano-eruption-seismic-activity-mount-agung

*4:See Kate Lamb “Mount Agung volcano threat forces Bali to make plans for stranded travellers” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/27/mount-agung-volcano-bali-stranded-travellers

*5:See eg. http://qut.academia.edu/ScottBryan