Justin McCurry “Mike Pence warns North Korea: do not test Trump's resolve” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/17/mike-pence-north-korea-missile-nuclear-strategic-patience-is-over


柔道の世界ジュニア選手権、平壌開催を変更へ 緊迫化で









“The Guardian view on North Korea: apocalypse not right now” https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/apr/16/the-guardian-view-on-north-korea-apocalypse-not-right-now


A war, then, would be the worst possible outcome to this crisis. It would cause unimaginable devastation and suffering and disrupt the world economy, which is now so tightly interlinked around the globe. That does not mean there is a best outcome but there may be a least worst. North Korea will not give up its nuclear deterrent. Every time the Americans bomb another country, the case for its weapon is strengthened in the eyes of Pyongyang. But it just might be persuaded to agree to some kind of deal which would freeze the programme in exchange for supplies of all that the country desperately needs. This is not ideal. It would need China’s cooperation. Both sides would try to cheat and neither could trust the other for a moment. Nonetheless, to quote Winston Churchill, whom Mr Trump believes he emulates, jaw-jaw is better than war-war.

Tom Phillips and Justin McCurry “Trump's North Korea sabre-rattling has a flaw: Kim Jong-un has nothing to lose” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/16/north-korea-missile-test-donald-trump-kim-jong-un-has-nothing-to-lose

韓国延世大学校のJohn Delury氏*2の意見;

In fact, Delury claimed Trump’s sabre-rattling rhetoric and erratic use of force would only strengthen Kim’s determination to develop an effective nuclear deterrent that might spare him the fate of Saddam Hussein or Muammar Gaddafi.

“It’s really just playing Pyongyang’s game. It is a waste of time and the Trump administration should move onto a more promising avenue to solve the problem ... Since they have nothing to lose and we have everything to lose, they win every game of chicken.”

濠太剌利国立大学のLeonid Petrov氏*3の意見;

Leonid Petrov, a North Korea specialist at the Australian National University, said that with its latest missile launch “the message from North Korea is that despite US posturing they are not going to abandon their missile programme”.

Petrov said he was not surprised Kim Jong-un had chosen not to commemorate the 105th anniversary of the birth of the founder of North Korea, his grandfather Kim Il-sung, with an anticipated sixth nuclear test.

“Given the physical damage that would cause to nearby areas, it would have been unusual for a loyal, filial grandson to order a nuclear test on such an auspicious day,” he said.

But when that test does come it would prove the day of reckoning for Trump’s more aggressive approach towards North Korea. “If the US responds with an attack, that would confirm Kim’s claims that he is surrounded by hostile forces that are determined to carry out a pre-emptive strike,” Petrov said.

“The moment of truth for the US will be whether it strikes [in response to a nuclear test] and provokes a resumption of the Korean war at the expense of South Korean security, or stands down and betrays its weakness.”

“What would the US do? Withdraw, hang around or strike?” Petrov asked. “The ball is in the Americans’ court.”

Mark Selden *4 “Is Donald Trump the man to promote peace with North Korea?” https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2017/apr/16/trump-peace-north-korea-nuclear-war-kim-johg-un-missile-test

国労働党の元欧州議員で北朝鮮専門家のGlyn Ford氏の意見が援用されているのだが、そのリンク先はGlyn Fordではなく息子のAlessandro Ford氏についての記事;

Maeve Shearlaw “No sex, drugs or rock’n’roll – a North Korean gap year” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jul/30/north-korea-gap-year-student-sex-drugs

Alessandro Ford氏は「ギャップ・イヤー」に西側の人間として初めて金日成総合大学に留学した。この記事からリンクされている、脱北者の視点から見た北朝鮮観光の倫理的是非についての記事を読む;

Chad O'Carroll “Tourism in North Korea: right or wrong? Defectors make their case” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/01/tourism-north-korea-right-wrong-ethical-defectors


“North Korea 'will test missiles weekly', senior official tells BBChttp://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-39623882
Associated Press “North Korea warns 'thermonuclear war may break out at any moment'” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/17/north-korea-war-break-out-any-moment-donald-trump-v