Mark Tran “Ethnic minorities to make up 20% of UK population by 2051” http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/jul/13/uk-population-growth-ethnic-minorities
Pia Wohland, Phil Rees, Paul Norman, Peter Boden and Martyna Jasinska Ethnic Population Projections for the UK and Local Areas, 2001-2051, School of Geography, University of Leeds, July 2010
http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/fileadmin/downloads/school/research/projects/migrants/WP_ETH_POP_PROJECTIONS.pdf
について。
この研究によれば、2051年の英国（イングランド、ウェールズ、スコットランド、北アイルランド）の人口は7770万人。また、2001年に８％だった非白人人口（黒人、印度系、中国系その他*1は20％を超えると予測している。
Researchers found striking differences in the respective growth rates of the 16 ethnic groups studied. White British and Irish groups are expected to grow the most slowly, while the so-called other white group is projected to grow the fastest, driven by immigration from Europe, the US and Australasia. Traditional immigrant groups of south Asian origin (Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi) will also grow rapidly.
英国のエスニシティ問題については、http://d.hatena.ne.jp/sumita-m/20090702/1246508928 http://d.hatena.ne.jp/sumita-m/20090709/1247114509 http://d.hatena.ne.jp/sumita-m/20090713/1247461327 http://d.hatena.ne.jp/sumita-m/20090827/1251340298も参照されたし。
The research shows the white British population shrinking from 87.1% to 67.1% and the white Irish group shrinking from 2.5% to 2.1%. The other white group share grows from 2.5% to 9.9% – the greatest gain. Asian groups increase their share by three percentage points, black groups by two percentage points and Chinese and other ethnic groups by 2.6 percentage points.
*1:混血も含む。
