承前*1
露西亜のブリゴジンの乱、ルカシェンコの仲介による手打ちということでは済まなかったようだ。
事件後初の公のスピーチで、プーチンは乱の組織者たちを赦さないことを明言しているようだ；
Joe Hernandez "Putin insists Russia is united after the Wagner Group uprising, vows to uphold deal" https://www.npr.org/2023/06/26/1184390064/putin-speech-prigozhin-wagner-group-deal
James Gregory & Sarah Rainsford "Vladimir Putin says Wagner mutiny leaders will be 'brought to justice'" https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66024526
さて、「ワグネル」の主要市場であるアフリカ諸国について、露西亜のセルゲイ・ラヴロフ外交部長は「ワグネル」がアフリカにおける事業*2から撤退することはないと述べている；
Jason Burke "Wagner mercenaries will not be withdrawn from Africa, says Russia" https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/26/wagner-soldiers-will-not-be-withdrawn-from-africa-says-russia-foreign-minister
曰く、
また、アフリカ大陸における「ワグネル」は（本国の乱にも拘らず）概ね平常運転だという；
Sergei Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, has moved to reassure allies in Africa that thousands of Wagner group fighters deployed to the continent will not be withdrawn after the mutiny led by their commander Yevgeny Prigozhin over the weekend.In an interview with Russia Today, Lavrov pledged that “instructors” and “private military contractors” would remain in Central African Republic (CAR) and Mali, the two countries in sub-Saharan Africa where Wagner has the biggest presence.
Both are considered strategic prizes by the Kremlin, which sees them as a springboard to greater influence on the continent and a source of lucrative natural resources.
Local sources in Mali said a routine rotation of staff in the strategic country had been completed without incident in recent days and that Wagner mercenaries had continued operations with Malian forces fighting insurgents across the centre and north of the country over the last 72 hours.
Reported flights from one of Wagner’s bases in Russia to Mali via Syria may simply be routine logistics transports, observers said.
There have been no abnormal movements in Libya either, where another sizeable contingent of Wagner mercenaries is deployed in the eastern part of the country controlled by warlord Khalifa Haftar, according to a well-placed former official and analysts.
“Compared to the numbers of fighters deployed in Ukraine, Wagner have few personnel in Libya. It is a relatively efficient – and in several regards successful – operation, which was built in part by the Russian state itself. There may well be a change at the top of the group but I don’t think events in Moscow will cause Wagner to disappear altogether from Libya. Logistical support from the Russian state for Wagner might diminish for a while but the mission will likely go on running itself,” said Jalel Harchaoui, a Libya specialist at the Royal United Services Institute.
Observers in CAR reported no sightings of the group’s personnel on the main roads or at the country’s only significant international airport. Limited infrastructure in CAR means it would be very difficult for Wagner to move substantial numbers of men or large quantities of material without using major routes, though it is conceivable flights could take off from a more remote airstrip.
*1:https://sumita-m.hatenadiary.com/entry/2023/06/26/163541
*2:「ワグネル」がアフリカで行っているのは暴力の輸出だけでなく、天然資源の採掘や露西亜のための情報工作（謀略）に及んでいる。
